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41% of Ukrainians Agree They and Russians Are One People
• July 28, 2021
• 100 Words • 130 Comments • Reply
These are the results of a recent poll from Rating Group. 41% agree with Putin's position, 55% disagree. Not bad, considering there's now been a generation's worth of state svidomy narratives. But possibly the most startling result (and certainly one that I didn't expect is there there's essentially zero difference across age groups. 44% of... Read More
Cultural Autonomy in Film
• July 24, 2021
• 300 Words • 341 Comments • Reply
Chinese protectionism/censorship (they only allow 34 Hollywood movies a year) has helped incubate a domestic film industry. As Richard Hanania points out, citing a study by James McMahon, that as of now, 9 out of 10 of the highest grossing films in Chinese history are domestic, all released in the last few years. Something like... Read More
Open Thread 158
• July 16, 2021
• 1,100 Words • 932 Comments • Reply
Time for something more stereotypical. *** * The AK. About a couple of months ago the National Bolsheviks ("Other Russia") had me round to their "bunker" for a podcast. It's now been released, you can listen to it here. (Obviously only in Russian). Alt Right columnist Tobias Langdon "featured me" as a Jew besmirching the... Read More
Innovative Immigrants. But Which Ones?
• July 14, 2021
• 200 Words • 169 Comments • Reply
America's ability to draw high quality human capital from abroad is one of the lynchpins of its economic strengths and probably goes some ways to explaining why it's GDP per capita is significantly higher than would might be predicted from its national IQ. Alexander Kruel recently had a Twitter thread about precisely which groups of... Read More
Navalny's Popularity on the Wane
• July 11, 2021
• 100 Words • 154 Comments • Reply
That's what I counselled people hoping for (or fearing) that a color revolution was imminent a few months ago: Look at the numbers. Well, since then, they have if anything plummeted further. 14% approval vs. 62% disapproval. Down from half a year ago. Furthermore, while young people are relatively more pro-Navalny (this is not surprising:... Read More
Vkusvill Jumps the LGBT Shark
• July 10, 2021
• 400 Words • 141 Comments • Reply
I wrote about Woke Capital making inroads into Russia after Netherlands HQ'ed Yandex.Taxi fired a driver who refused service to a rude Black foreign student last year. However, not all such corporate attempts to signal fealty to progressive values are paying off. Vkusvill is a nice chain of grocery stores that are somewhere in between... Read More
US Homicide Rate 60% Higher Than Russia's in 2020
• July 10, 2021
• 200 Words • 95 Comments • Reply
This translates to a homicide rate of 7.4/100,000 homicide rate using the US population of 332M as the denominator. I wrote about the history of the Russian homicide rates here. This is how the centennial comparison now looks like between Russia and the US after the latter's embrace of #BLM and community policing. US at... Read More
Open Thread 157
• July 9, 2021
• 500 Words • 254 Comments • Reply
*** * I think travel in much of Europe will remain significantly restricted as Delta makes its way from UK/Portugal to mainland Europe. * Nature - Mounting evidence suggests Sputnik COVID vaccine is safe and effective. But Europeans still not rushing to approve, with France being intransigent in particular. Seething over Sanofi failure? * Aeroflot... Read More
Rejecting Sputnik to Own Putler
• July 6, 2021
• 500 Words • 166 Comments • Reply
Yesterday the Levada Center released a new poll on vaccines that tends to confirm my contention that Russia's tawdry pace of vaccinations is not a result of supply constraints, but the banal fact that many Russians (including in older age groups) would simply rather catch Corona than get vaccinated. The first observation is that the... Read More
Open Thread 156
• July 5, 2021
• 600 Words • 317 Comments • Reply
*** * Scott Alexander - Welcome Polygenically Screened Babies. First baby polygenetically screened born to a family with a history of breast cancer which wanted to reduce to reduce those chances. SA implies the client was a reader. Eventually it could be possible to do this for intelligence and other personality traits. * Putin's Q&A... Read More
Generation Zyklon Loves CRT
• July 4, 2021
• 400 Words • 202 Comments • Reply
Haha, any of you still remember that meme? It was admittedly some very good hopium from Audacious Epigone at the time. (Belated RIP to his blog). But over time it became clear that the idea that zoomers were radically more "based" than previous generations was, at most, if not a complete myth - Richard Hanania... Read More
Open Thread 155
• June 27, 2021
• 400 Words • 664 Comments
*** * Press F for John McAfee. Even NBC acknowledged he was suicided (if briefly). Certainly a very colorful character. * @BirthGauge with new table of preliminary TFR estimates for first few months of this year. Germany will have a higher TFR than the US for the first time in more than a century this... Read More
What Next in Afghanistan?
• June 23, 2021
• 900 Words • 258 Comments
[Epistemic status: Low, I don't know much about Afghanistan, nor does it interest me much (except for the fascination multiple empires seem to have in expending their treasure there]. There appears to be a near consensus that the Taliban will take over most of Afghanistan soon after the US withdrawal and that they will do... Read More
US Reminder It Controls .Com Domains
• June 23, 2021
• 300 Words • 119 Comments
The US has seized the domain names of Iranian state news agency Press TV. It also seized Al-Masirah, a website owned by the Houthis in Yemen (the people fighting Saudi Arabia), as well as dozens of other websites from countries as disperse as Iraq, Azerbaijan, and Nigeria whose common denominator was that they were owned... Read More
I'M... I'm Gonna Kneeeeel! (Ukraine Edition)
• June 22, 2021
• 100 Words • 126 Comments
Kneeling before Anglo ambassadors seems to be becoming something of a Ukrainian military tradition. Ukrainian army officer kneeling before the British ambassador to Ukraine Melinda Simmons. Traditionally, it was the recipient of a honorary sword for acts of valor who knelt. The only exceptions were when defeated parties knelt and presented their weapons to the... Read More
Open Thread 154
• June 19, 2021
• 400 Words • 191 Comments
Prestigious. *** * Putin-Biden summit in Geneva. No surprises to the upside or the downside (if you credited the theory that Biden wants to curtail the breakdown of US-Russian relations to slow down its drifting alliance with China). $150M in weapons aid to Ukraine canceled, on top of the dropping of sanctions against German companies... Read More
Corona Babies
• June 19, 2021
• 600 Words • 102 Comments
We know the effects of Corona on mortality and GDP. As data trickles in, we are now getting an increasingly clear idea of its effects on fertility rates. (via Twitter demographer @BirthGauge) We generally see no large-scale effects from Corona. There were usually fertility shocks as the lockdowns first went into effect, but they were... Read More
White Antifragility: Wokeism as White Supremacism
Signaling Against White Supremacy *IS* Literally White Supremacy
• June 19, 2021
• 1,000 Words • 107 Comments
A week ago so a minor kerfuffle within the ranks of the "IDW", with Quillette editor Claire Lehmann attaqing James Lindsay for promoting "White Genocide Theory". Is White Genocide happening? Is it likely to happen in a country like the US? Well, as wits such as Roko pointed out, it is surely more likely than... Read More
Slava Malamud: Ethnostate for Me, Not for Thee
• June 19, 2021
• 300 Words • 30 Comments
I didn't know about a certain "sports journalist" and emigre called Slava Malamud until the following amusing exchange with RT journalist Bryan MacDonald came up on my feed. Out of curiosity, I did a few searches on his feed. He is not completely inconsequential, having 35,000 followers. So far as the US goes, he repeats... Read More
Russian Ambassador to China Affirms Strategic Partnership
• June 14, 2021
• 900 Words • 364 Comments
Biden and Putin will meet in Geneva on June 16. Speculation has been rife that Biden will try to draw Russia away from its deepening relationship with China. This makes patent sense - even American strategists have long realized that China isn't just a much bigger Mexico, and in fact constitutes the one threat to... Read More
Floomerism Endorsement
• June 13, 2021
• 500 Words • 129 Comments
Is now the correct approach. I mean sure, many/most floomers are people with only a tenuous grasp on reality who don't understand things like "excess mortality." That said, with vaccines available now widely available across the First World - certainly to the age groups who are vastly more likely to die from Corona - it... Read More
Open Thread 153
• June 12, 2021
• 200 Words • 403 Comments
The weak should fear the strong. *** * Richard Hanania had a podcast with Sean McMeekin about his new book. (I made some comments on that post). Incidentally, I have started reading Stalin's War. Not far in, but my initial impressions are that McMeekin is weak on military realism - he seems to think that... Read More
Dying from Corona in Russia Has Long Been "Optional"
• June 10, 2021
• 900 Words • 258 Comments
I don't have the reputation of someone who stans for Russia's record on dealing with Corona. I was writing about how Russian official statistics were massively understating Corona mortality more than a year ago, before Western journalists generally noticed it, and followed that theme up in the subsequent months. Ironically, Russia's development of one of... Read More
The Geography of Ukraine's IQ
• June 8, 2021
• 800 Words • 115 Comments
My attention was brought to the following map of Ukraine's IQ. I don't know the methodology behind it, but it seems to be based on what is not an uncommonly cited average (usually low to mid 90s) coupled with the results of the ZNO, which is the nationwide school-leaving exam in Ukraine. Russia's equivalent is... Read More
7 Years On, Ukraine's Economy Fails to Impress
• June 5, 2021
• 1,600 Words • 102 Comments
Now from the onset, I want to make a few things clear that I made in my last major Ukraine sitrep from 2018: Ukraine hasn't collapsed (desires of more deluded pro-Russians aside) nor has it come closer to it. While Ukraine's economy remains in the gutter, ahead only of Moldova in Europe, it is the... Read More
Open Thread 152
• June 4, 2021
• 300 Words • 438 Comments
This week's Open Thread. *** * Zach Goldberg, the guy who coined the "Great Awokening", is now blogging at Substack. You should give him a follow. * Alex Tabarrok observed that it is "depressing" that you'd have done better investing in Dogecoin this year than in Pfizer. I think this is a function of (1)... Read More
Animal Arena
• June 3, 2021
• 500 Words • 138 Comments
The YouGov poll on which animal Americans could take in a fight (covered by Sailer) was complemented by another poll asking Brits those same questions. American women sure are confident. The Brits are... realistic? (On the large animals, at any rate). Anyhow, for what little opinion (never having fought any of these animals) is worth:... Read More
Nationalism Is Implicitly Transhumanist
• May 31, 2021
• 1,000 Words • 299 Comments
Transhumanism, at its most basic level, is about extending human capabilities through technology. In a sense, it has always been with us since at least the invention of fire. As David Landes notes, the invention of eyepieces in Renaissance Italy de facto doubled the productive life expectancy of artisans that relied upon fine motor skills... Read More
Overview of Russian Ports
• May 29, 2021
• 300 Words • 55 Comments
Cargo traffic through Russian ports has almost doubled over the past decade (only Corona, a temporary factor, prevented a full doubling), after increasing by a factor of three during the previous decade. Here is how it looks like per port/region (h/t genby): The blue section corresponds to Arctic traffic and it had a full doubling.... Read More
Open Thread 151
• May 28, 2021
• 600 Words • 457 Comments
*** * CORE. Richard Hanania - Freedom House, Woke Imperialists. Traditionally, Freedom House just penalized countries for not hewing to American geopolitical interests (e.g. see What I Learned from Freedom House…). Now, it's transitioned to also penalizing them for opposing liberal/Woke positions, such as Poland's opposition to "LGBT and gender ideology", while the "connection between... Read More
Roman Protasevich Served in the Azov Battalion
• May 26, 2021
• 1,000 Words • 219 Comments
The rumors that Roman Protasevich was associated with the Azov Battalion, a Neo-Nazi regiment incorporated into the Ukrainian National Guard, came off as too perfect of a "pro-Kremlin" caricature for me to initially put much faith in them. But over the past couple of days it has been more or less confirmed that those initial... Read More
State Terrorism or Audacious Intel Ops? Depends If It's Belarus or Ukraine
• May 24, 2021
• 600 Words • 111 Comments
The US and EU governments are accusing Belarus of "state terrorism" for forcing a RyanAir flight containing Roman Protasevich, an anti-Lukashenko activist, to make an emergency landing after a bomb hoax. He participated in the Euromaidan, although other reports that he worked as a press secretary for the Azov Battalion in the subsequent Donbass War... Read More
UFOs
• May 22, 2021
• 100 Words • 208 Comments
There's a good chance aliens exist, perhaps including in our galaxy. However, there are reasons - the Dark Forest theory, the Katechon Hypothesis - for why we should expect them to be paranoid about being detected. In contrast, MIC shilling can be rather open. It is curious that there's no media denunciation of this, as... Read More
Anti-Vax Signaling
• May 22, 2021
• 300 Words • 95 Comments
Within countries, anti-vaxxer sentiment tends to fall with rising IQ (e.g. white males with no degree see no difference in risk between contracting COVID-19 and getting vaxxed, barely higher than the numbers for Blacks and Hispanics, while Whites with a degree give the factually correct answer). However, between countries, there seems to be no such... Read More
Autistic Obsessions
• May 21, 2021
• 300 Words • 170 Comments
It's a little commented fact, but one that is true nonetheless, that Russian relations with Israel are better than with almost any Western country. Open visa regime. No sanctions over Crimea, an attitude largely of mutual studied indifference as regards Ukraine and Palestine, respectively. Open to Sputnik V vaccine. Criticized Biden's comments about Putin as... Read More
China's Population Stands at 1.41B
• May 11, 2021
• 400 Words • 419 Comments
Results of the 2020 Census have been released. Some links: Reuters summary Chinese state statistics service communique (in Chinese) Here's a table of the regional change: 2020 2010 % Beijing 21893095 19612368 0.12 Tianjin 13866009 12938224 0.07 Hebei 74610235 71854202 0.04 Shanxi 34915616 35712111 -0.02 Inner Mongolia 24049155 24706321 -0.03 Liaoning 42591407 43746323 -0.03 Jilin... Read More
Pilgrimage to the Fortress-Monastery
• May 9, 2021
• 1,400 Words • 75 Comments
I visited the Central Cathedral of the Russian Armed Forces, just slightly less than a year after its consecration. It is quite rare that reality exceeds visual media. But the Fortress-Monastery does so, in spades, and that despite its already superlative neo-Byzantine steampunk aesthetics on screen, which are like something out of a Maxim Bedulenko... Read More
Egor Ligachev Dies at 100
• May 9, 2021
• 1,000 Words • 261 Comments
Egor Ligachev, leader of the "conservative" wing of the CPSU under Gorbachev, died yesterday at the age of 100. He was a teetotaller who took good care of his health. The cause of death was bilateral pneumonia, though his son says it wasn't COVID-19. By all accounts, he was a decent and uncorrupt man, e.g.... Read More
Open Thread 150
• May 8, 2021
• 300 Words • 213 Comments
This week's Open Thread. ~ Emil Kirkegaard - Meta-compilation of HBD related materials. Very useful link. Also dug up this Blast from the Past: Who’s afraid of the big bad data? ~ NEW PAPER. Rieger, M. O., Wang, M., & Hens, T. (2021). Universal time preference. PloS One, 16(2), e0245692. (h/t @whyvert) ~ XENOS. Pop... Read More
IHME: 6.9 Million Deaths from Corona
• May 7, 2021
• 400 Words • 145 Comments
This is Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's assessment of global excess mortality from COVID-19 from the beginning until May 3, 2021. (h/t Ron Unz) You can read about the methodology here. All in all, this sadly comports with the "millions" prediction I made in February 24, 2020. While at the end of last year... Read More
The 2020s FOMO Into Russian Tech
• May 2, 2021
• 2,400 Words • 212 Comments
You missed the Big Tech explosion because you didn't understand what de facto monopolies wedded to economies of scale can do. You have been deplatformed by Zuck and @jack for being a racist and a white supremacist, and you don't even have their stonks for consolation. You didn't hop aboard the Tesla train because you... Read More
Open Thread 149
• April 30, 2021
• 400 Words • 111 Comments
  ~ Fake News. Final unraveling of the Russian Bounties "story." As I said from the beginning, if you believe that the Taliban need Russian rubles to kill Americans, you're either a neocon or a moron. Glenn Greenwald on this topic. ~ Scott Alexander - Prospectus On Próspera. Think of the flies. (Or, why I'm... Read More
And These People Lecture Us on Rule of Law
• April 30, 2021
• 300 Words • 118 Comments
Society 282 in action! But actually, it's not just a "society" (as in "social pressure", no matter how artificial) by now. No flight lists are compiled by the federal government. All that because Fuentes turned out to a (legal) protest for Orange Man. You have Ricky Vaughn railroaded for literally posting memes on Twitter in... Read More
US de Facto Shuts Down Travel with Russia
• April 30, 2021
• 500 Words • 92 Comments
US Embassy in Moscow: Trump - Muslim travel ban. Biden - Russian travel ban. Anyhow, as I keep saying, this "social distancing" from the US and the West in general is a good idea. It blunts the impact of bad Western memes and tars their promoters within Russia by association. Meanwhile, it's not as if... Read More
Mental Populations
• April 25, 2021
• 500 Words • 510 Comments
Population is power, so it pays to keep track of it (along with national IQ and GDPcc), for those with an interest in geopolitics and futurism. I used to spend way too much time poring over statistics almanacs and the CIA World Factbook during my school years, so I have a pretty good fix on... Read More
War Postponed, for Now
• April 22, 2021
• 600 Words • 359 Comments
I have compared the current standoff in Donbass to a poker game. By amassing troops around Ukraine, Putin let it be known that a Ukrainian attack on Donbass would be - well, if not assuredly catastrophic, then at least extremely risky for its continued statehood. Ukraine could raise by going ahead with it anyway. It... Read More
Crimea & Donbass Tell Navalny to BTFO
• April 19, 2021
• 500 Words • 108 Comments
The Navalny campaign is calling for nationwide protests on April 21 after the failure of their campaign to even get half a million people (quick arithmetic: 0.3% of Russia's population) to register and commit to coming out and protesting on their website. I don't see much coming out of it. I correctly said that the... Read More
Navalny's Fasting Protocol
• April 18, 2021
• 200 Words • 57 Comments
I sympathize with Navalny's radical weight loss plan, I truly do. Following on from his looksmaxxing Novichok Protocol, like him or not, we have to recognize him as a man truly dedicated to self-improvement. That said, I would strongly recommend supplementation if you plan to fast for more than three days. I wrote a helpful... Read More
Russophobia Is Good for Russia
• April 18, 2021
• 300 Words • 42 Comments
I would unironically endorse this, if perhaps not for Ilves Toomas' reasons. I wouldn't have several years ago when I still thought there was some chance of productive relations between Russia and the West, and thought that examining misperceptions about Russia in the Anglosphere was a legitimate and effective way of achieving that. But today,... Read More
Game of Chicken Kiev
• April 18, 2021
• 1,100 Words • 195 Comments
There's not much to add now except that we are approaching the moment of maximum danger. (I noted that if it happens, it will probably happen sometime from late April to July). What I think essentially happened is that the Ukrainians wanted to do an Operation Storm on Donbass, which is why movements of military... Read More
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Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.