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Open Thread 142
• February 26, 2021
• 100 Words • 282 Comments • Reply
I didn't take any good photos recently, so here's a video with creepy music instead - the better to with this scifi horror short story that I read recently, "Lena" on ems by qntm. Much darker vision than Hanson's. Though I suppose if there are trillions of ems, only a small percentage of them will... Read More
Atlantic Council's Ben Nimmo, Who Got Unz Review Banned on Facebook, Joins as Its Head of Anti-Influence Operations
• February 26, 2021
• 600 Words • 11 Comments • Reply
Leaked documents have unequivocally proven that the United Kingdom has been running a large-scale and well-funded program to plaster the Western media with anti-Russian propaganda and Twitter wants you to know that these materials were obtained through hacking. Meanwhile, just a few weeks ago, the connections between American Big Tech and these sundry programs were... Read More
Twitter Bans for "Undermining Confidence in the NATO Alliance"
• February 26, 2021
• 300 Words • 35 Comments • Reply
Several months ago, I speculated why Twitter would suspend the Valdai Club (a milquetoast discussion group that largely centers around economics issues and has a large component of systemic liberals within in). Now we have an answer. RT: Twitter is an American company and it's long been clear that it is used along with Facebook... Read More
HABBENING: the Iskander Revolution?
• February 25, 2021
• 500 Words • 39 Comments • Reply
Armenian General Staff is demanding a Pashinyan resignation. Summary from /r/armenia: In a statement issued on the afternoon of February 25, the General Staff of the Armenian Armed Forces demanded the resignation of Nikol Pashinyan and his Cabinet., expressing strong disapproval of Pashinyan's sacking of Tigran Khachatryan, the First Deputy Chief of the General Staff.... Read More
Russabia - No. But There Will be a Little Dushanbe.
• February 24, 2021
• 1,200 Words • 230 Comments • Reply
I have written that Moscow - not to mention the rest of Russia - remains an overwhelmingly (that is, 85%-90% Slavic) megapolis. The Myth of Moskvabad From Russia to Russabia? Not Anytime Soon I don't see the need to reiterate something that only remains an obsession for a few liberal racists masquerading as Russian nationalists,... Read More
Who Will be the World's First Trillionaire?
• February 23, 2021
• 1,600 Words • 132 Comments • Reply
Currently jostling in the top rankings: Jeff Bezos (Amazon) and Elon Musk (Tesla), both at around $200B. Amazon is a mature company that dominates the US e-commerce market and has substantial fingerprints abroad (about a third of revenue). Also not to be underrated is AWS, which accounts for a third of the global cloud computing... Read More
Book Review: Michel Houellebecq - Submission
• February 22, 2021
• 2,400 Words • 164 Comments • Reply
Michel Houellebecq - SUBMISSION (2015) Rating: 4/5 You can access all of my latest book, film, and video game reviews at this link, as well as an ordered, categorized list of all my book reviews and ratings here: Finally read Houellebecq's Submission a few weeks ago, filling in a major and hitherto embarrassing lacuna. He... Read More
HMG Sponsored Bear-Baiting
• February 20, 2021
• 600 Words • 138 Comments • Reply
There has been a large leak of documents from the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) showing that the UK is sponsoring and providing editorial guidance to anti-Kremlin journalists, media organizations, and YouTubers as part of a £100 million plan to "tackle Kremlin disinformation" during 2018-22. Their aim, forthrightly stated, is to "[weaken] the Russian... Read More
Open Thread 141
• February 19, 2021
• 153 Comments • Reply
This week's Open Thread.
News at 11: Scott Alexander Is a Crypto-HBDist
• February 18, 2021
• 1,500 Words • 105 Comments • Reply
If you weren't under a rock the past week, you will have heard that the New York Times finally went through with its threats to publish Scott Alexander's real name in its write up about the Bay Area rationality community. It was a disappointing effort, if not unpredictable. The author, Cade Metz, has no interest... Read More
Open Thread 140
• February 14, 2021
• 327 Comments • Reply
Sorry for the lack of new posts recently, have been occupied with a few other matters. Will resume very soon.
Open Thread 139
• February 6, 2021
• 652 Comments • Reply
This week's open thread.
Don't Waste Time on Hacks. Look at Numbers.
• February 4, 2021
• 200 Words • 163 Comments • Reply
Western media: Angry Russians fed up with Putler's corruption pour into the streets. But now the first post-"palace" video opinion polls are coming in on Putin's approval rating and related questions: Levada: 65%→64% VCIOM: 60%→61% FOM: 61%→60% Levada is a private, opposition-leaning pollster. VCIOM and FOM are state-owned pollsters. Other polls: FOM: Did the actions... Read More
Blogroll: What I Am Reading in 2021
• February 3, 2021
• 3,600 Words • 66 Comments • Reply
Just one and a half years ago, I was heralding the end of the blogosphere and its replacement by the vlogosphere. But last year, along came Substack - a modest newsletter service that doubles as a blogging platform with inbuilt RSS, analytics, and monetization infrastructure. Seemingly exploding out of the blue, before long a rafter... Read More
Navalny Doesn't Pass GO, Goes to Jail
• February 2, 2021
• 600 Words • 99 Comments • Reply
This episode reaches its unsurprising denouement: Small first protest Even smaller second protest Navalny gets jailed So, exactly as I predicted it would go. It didn't require much in the way of unique insight, but Western hacks in Russia have an obligation to spin up fantasies demanded by their editors. This creates a lot of... Read More
HABBENING: #FreeNavalny Protest
• January 30, 2021
• 200 Words • 269 Comments • Reply
Second Free Navalny! protest will take place in 10 hours. The location, Lubyanka Square, is an escalation, being adjacent to both the Lubyanka Building that hosts the FSB HQ: ... and the even more critical "regime object" that is the Presidential Administration. As of the present time, a total of 1,800 people say they are... Read More
Open Thread 138
• January 30, 2021
• 188 Comments • Reply
This week's Open Thread.
Musical Chairs
• January 27, 2021
• 162 Comments
As a rule: If it's in the news, it's already too late to make money from it.
Criminalizing the Meme War
• January 27, 2021
• 300 Words • 35 Comments
This is the creative group responsible for peddling RASHN DEZINFORMATSIYA like the "Draft our Daughters" and Taylor "The Ten-Ton Terror of Tel Aviv" Swift meme campaign. These people were all kicked off Twitter and Blompf did nothing about it, one of many things that contributed to him losing in 2020. Who knows, with margins being... Read More
Tractor Protest in India
• January 25, 2021
• 500 Words • 256 Comments
  That columnist is sure covering all his bases: "Kharkiv Tractor Plant in Russia", something sure to trigger both Russian nationalists and Ukrainian svidomy and I am sure without even being aware of it. Based. Anyhow, these are pretty large-scale - one Twitter accounts talks of 250,000 participating in Delhi. I am hardly an expert... Read More
The Kremlins Aren't Falling - But Relations with the US Are
• January 24, 2021
• 1,100 Words • 188 Comments
There is a lot of rhetoric floating about in the usual Reddit/Blue Check crowd that these were the largest demonstrations in Russia of the Putin. This is not really even true - the Bolotnaya/Prospekt Sakharova "meetings" against electoral fraud in Moscow drew more people, though one may argue this is an unfair comparison since they... Read More
HABBENING: #23январяЗаСвободу Protests
• January 23, 2021
• 200 Words • 245 Comments
RT journalist Bryan MacDonald collating protest turnout data - mostly from Kommersant, a paper that is marginally opposition-leaning, but by not means pro-regime. Data from Far East and now from the Volga suggests 0.2% of population is protesting in the more "agitated" cities, this tallies with my prediction this will be bigger than ~7,500 at... Read More
Open Thread 137
• January 22, 2021
• 151 Comments
This week's Open Thread.
Navalny Children's Crusade
• January 22, 2021
• 1,200 Words • 59 Comments
Plus ça change... Just like three years ago on March 26, 2017, the protest "Freedom to Navalny!" tomorrow is to start on Pushkin Square (see above) and march down the central Tverskaya Boulevard down to Manezh Square, which is right next to the Kremlin. I attended that prior protest (as an informal observer, not a... Read More
Putin's 5 Star Hotel in Gelendzhik
• January 22, 2021
• 1,200 Words • 288 Comments
Good taste, not overly tacky (e.g. too much gold like with Trump). I'd probably build something like that as a strongman. There's nothing cardinally new about Navalny's video. The construction of a palace at Gelendzhik in Krasnodar Krai linked to friends of Putin was "leaked" to the world more than a decade by Sergey Kolesnikov,... Read More
HABBENING: Inauguration Day 2021
• January 19, 2021
• 100 Words • 177 Comments
Pretty cool that the US has constructed a Blue Zone in its own capital. Although the 25,000 National Guardsmen are apparently unarmed, which suggests that the Dems don't actually take MAGA terrorists seriously. But it's good theater. Or, I suppose it could be that THE PLAN is coming to fruition. Any hour now.
Open Thread 136
• January 17, 2021
• 411 Comments
This week's Open Thread.
Sealed Airplane from Germany
• January 17, 2021
• 67 Comments
Navalny didn't pass through Berlin Airport on his way to Moscow. Sealed train in 1917, sealed airplane in 2021. Plus ça change.
Illarionov Has Done His Duty. He Can Now Go.
• January 15, 2021
• 1,000 Words • 59 Comments
Natasha Bertrand, writing for Politico, says that conspiracy theories promoted by a "former economic policy adviser" to Putin "raise the specter of Russian attempts to sow chaos and doubt in the legitimacy of US elections." Said conspiracy theories refer to a Jan 8, 2021 blog post entitled "Burning of the Reichstag 2021" on his Russian... Read More
Musk Industries' Teleology
• January 14, 2021
• 900 Words • 100 Comments
One observation I've seen people make is that Elon Musk's industrial empire seems ultra-optimized for the distinctly non-commercial ambition of establishing a Mars colony: SpaceX for providing the reusable rockets to throw large payloads into space at much lower cost. Tesla to provide the batteries for Mars vehicles. Boring Company to dig out the tunnels... Read More
Film Review: Leviathan (2014)
• January 10, 2021
• 600 Words • 292 Comments
LEVIATHAN (2014) Rating: 2/5   Finally watched this major Cannes hit, and understood why it was so popular with the "professional" critics, if not quite as much with normies (Metacritic: 92% vs. 73%; Rotten Tomatoes: 98% vs. 80%). No redeeming characters. Main "hero" is a boorish, highly unlikable, impulsive, and violent alcoholic. His wife is... Read More
Open Thread 135: A Dozen Years of Blogging
• January 10, 2021
• 2,100 Words • 177 Comments
Jan 9, 2020 marks the 12th year since I began blogging about Russia in 2008, before expanding into broader geopolitical topics, HBD, and futurism within that same year. Here is a graph of my pageviews across my websites during this period. (I did not plot visits to my personal webpages akarlin.com and akarlin.ru for 2019-20... Read More
Navalny Opposes Trump Deplatforming, But His Comrades Beg to Differ
• January 10, 2021
• 1,100 Words • 48 Comments
Credit where credit is due - Navalny has come out against Trump's deplatforming. (He posted the same thing in Russian). The brighter Blue Checks RT'ed this, saying, OK, good points, though I respectfully disagree. Some of the duller Blue Checks and Russiagaters in the replies attacked Navalny, calling him a Russian nationalist, expressing "disappointment" in... Read More
HABBENING: Trump Is Banned from Twitter
• January 8, 2021
• 205 Comments
He monitored the situation. Pretty successful poasting career though.
Trump: God-Emperor of Mankind
• January 7, 2021
• 100 Words • 88 Comments
There are MAGA people claiming this is a deep fake in the replies, LOL. As concerns the ability to generate an undying cult of personality, even past the point of becoming a (political) corpse, I suppose Donald Trump truly is the "God-Emperor of Mankind." Having a non-suspended Twitter account is helpful with that, I imagine.
Musk Becomes Richest Man on the Planet
• January 7, 2021
• 300 Words • 95 Comments
Approaching $200 billion ($195B according to Bloomberg Billionaires Index, vs. Bezos' $185B), he has blown his way past Bezos after Tesla shares surged north of $800 today. Its p/e ratio is now above 1,600 and accounts for more than 40% of the market capitalization of all the world’s automakers combined. Brian Wang of NextBigFuture, who... Read More
Raz of Chaz vs. MAGA Viking: Who Did the Techno-Barbarian Aesthetic Better?
• January 6, 2021
• 500 Words • 252 Comments
But let's move on to a far more important discussion: Raz of Chaz or MAGA Viking, who did the techno-barbarian warlord aesthetic better during their occupations of Capitol Hill and the Capitol, respectively? Both are very strong competitors to be sure. *** Points in favor of MAGA Viking: (1) Storming one of the key power... Read More
HABBENING: US Capitol Being Stormed
• January 6, 2021
• 211 Comments
If you gaze long upon the Ukraine... The Ukraine gazes back into you.
HABBENING: Georgia Runoff 2021
• January 5, 2021
• 100 Words • 111 Comments
I haven't been following them closely (or at all, really). But my throwaway guess is that Republicans lose both. Why would lower income Trump supporters vote for the party that failed to find Trump 11,780 votes and denied them their well-deserved $2,000 worth of gibs? I certainly wouldn't in their place. Polling average ends in... Read More
World Births in 2020
• January 4, 2021
• 300 Words • 180 Comments
From Twitter demographer Cicerone (now @BirthGauge): For some countries, this is the last update (November) for which realized births still reflect fertility decisions taken before the onset of Corona - which, judging from anecdotal reports, will crater them further, but we'll see*. Broadly, this continues a trend I have already observed of most of the... Read More
State Capacity and Vaccinations
• January 3, 2021
• 500 Words • 234 Comments
Why is Israel vaccinating its population so fast relative to everyone else? I am seeing some smol brain takes on this. Sure, Israel might be a "small" country, but so is Belgium. Or US states like Massachusetts. But in the US it is those famous dense metropolitan centers of the Dakotas, Wyoming, and Alaska that... Read More
Now It's Xitler Paying Afghans to Kill Burgers
• January 1, 2021
• 100 Words • 209 Comments
The GOD DANG CHEETO ORANGE MUSSOLINI will soon be out of the White House. As such, it's now the Chinese taking over from the Russians paying Afghans to kill American soldiers in Afghanistan. It's not something freedom loving Afghans would even think of doing if they weren't getting rubles, yuan, or preferably both for it.
Open Thread: Happy New Year!
• December 31, 2020
• 286 Comments
I wish my readers the best of spirits and great success in 2021!
The Year of Corona: Ten Megadeaths & the Crash of Western Supremacism
• December 29, 2020
• 7,600 Words • 297 Comments
In this "summary" post on Corona 2020, I will cover some of the following. Recap what we know about Corona, what we have learned in the past year, and what policies should have been undertaken; The big picture of global excess mortality that is emerging for 2020; Discuss the vaccines, "vaccine geopolitics", and Corona's impact... Read More
Corona's Toll in the Ex-USSR
• December 28, 2020
• 1,500 Words • 115 Comments
This post sums up the coronavirus epidemic in Russia in 2020. There will subsequently be a larger post surveying the world at large and prospects for its containment before the New Year.   The observation that Russia is massive understating its COVID-19 mortality rate was first noticed by bloggers around May, when they noticed that... Read More
India Fertility Falls Below Replacement
• December 28, 2020
• 100 Words • 50 Comments
This the news from the latest National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5), covering the years 2019-20. (h/t Cicerone, now Tweeting as @BirthGauge): Previous NFHS surveys at Wikipedia stretching to 1981. India overall is now at TFR = 2.1 children per woman. Kerala, long one of the lowest TFR states (as well as one of the most... Read More
Brexit: "Out of the House, But Keep the Keys"
• December 28, 2020
• 400 Words • 25 Comments
This is how the final UK - EU deal was characterized by Alexander Mercouris in a live stream with Alex Christoforou at The Duran. Main points to take away: The UK stays in the free trade (zero tariff) zone with the EU, but in so doing remains strongly bound by EU regulations (with the latter... Read More
#RussianLivesMatter: Portland Recognizes Russians as POC
• December 27, 2020
• 200 Words • 117 Comments
Map of POC homelands within Europe. Portland has recognized Slavs, and by extension Russians, as a Community of Color - a long overdue step in the fight for racial justice in America and affirmation that "race" and "color" can only be defined in terms of a system of power relationships. Recognition of Russians as a... Read More
Open Thread 133: Merry Christmas!
• December 25, 2020
• 244 Comments
Merry Christmas to all my meritorious readers!
Sunset on Silicon Valley
• December 25, 2020
• 400 Words • 72 Comments
AI safety research outfit MIRI say they're thinking of leaving Berkeley on account of: Translated from rationalese to /pol/speak, they're presumably saying they don't want to stay in the new "designated shitting streets" capital of the world and pay high taxes for the privilege. This would be highly symbolic - just as Tesla is perhaps... Read More
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Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.